While there are still question marks around defense and goal-tending, the Leafs’ offense has been on fire in their last 4 games. They have won all 4 and have averaged 6 goals per game. This included TOUGH match-ups against Boston and Florida.

Tampa Bay may have won 4 of 5 but they have struggled against contending teams at just a 1-3 pace. Their offense has been better lately, averaging just over 4 goals a game in their last 5. The Over and the Lightning don’t usually go hand in hand in hand, but no one has shut the Leafs down, and given Toronto’s goal-tending situation, the Lightning should also have their chances today. Take the Over.