The Spurs and Pelicans do battle on Wednesday with the winner earning the right to face the Clippers-T’wolves loser. That game will determine the 8-seed in the Western Conference. The loser here is eliminated.

It wasn’t until late in the season that San Antonio made its move, overtaking the floundering Lakers for the 10th spot. The Spurs finished the regular season at 34-48 SU, but 43-37-2 ATS. They are 9-1-1 ATS over the last 11 games, but have lost the last three straight up.

New Orleans was 36-46 SU, but 42-40 ATS. They lost their last two regular season games after winning five of the previous six.

I think the total is too high here. Spurs’ games averaged 226.2 points per game this year. Pelicans’ games averaged 219.6. The teams faced off four times in the regular season. Three of them went Under, all with 213 or less total points scored.

The Spurs are 6-1 Under their last seven games against a team with a losing record. The Pelicans are 13-5 Under their last 18 games as a home favorite. Take the Under.