The Leafs are hot, the Lightning are not. Goal-tending has been an issue for the Leafs, but Campbell has been sharp lately, and the defense looks to have tightened up with their deadline addition. They still have that dominant and potent offense we have seen all season.

The Lightning are struggling and goal-tending, usually a huge plus, has not been up to snuff recently. It is not as if this game doesn’t mean anything for Tampa; they could very well play themselves into a wild card spot with a loss. The Leafs pummeled the Lighting in April and Tampa has not won against a top team in 10 games.

The Leafs are good on the road, and a small underdog today. The Lightning have given up 11 goals in 3 games, abnormal considering their opponents. The Leafs are not a team to engage in a goal-fest. Take Toronto to steal this one.