The last two games of this series went Over. But that was with some real hot shooting, from New Orleans in Game 2 (56.7 percent from three!) and then Phoenix in Game 3 (67% from inside the arc). I had the ATS winner of each game, but it’s back to the Under (which I had in Game 1) for Game 4.

Devin Booker being out for Phoenix is a big deal. The Suns still scored 114 points without their leading scorer on Friday, but were 4 of 26 on three-point attempts and are going to continue to struggle in that regard. Booker made seven threes (all in the first half) in Game 2.

The Over has hit seven straight times when these teams have played in New Orleans. But there were a lot of free throws in Game 3. The Suns and Pelicans combined to make 46 of 58 from the line. Expect a decrease in this area for Game 4.

We’ve seen great overall shooting the last two games with both teams hitting over 50 percent from the field. I just don’t think that can continue. I expect the Pelicans to start missing more threes.

New Orleans is 15-8 under this season playing with revenge for a home loss. Take the Under.