At 8-2 in their last 10 games, the Red Sox have beaten up on the Mariners recently and out-dueled them last night. Today’s Sox starter, Wacha (1.99 ERA) had a rough start vs. the White Sox, but has bounced back twice since. His last time out was a 3 hit, complete game shutout. Even with that poor start, opposing batters are managing just .172 against him.

Wacha faces a promising young Mariners starter in Georg Kirby (3.38 ERA). With 6 starts under his belt, he has put up decent numbers and a ton of strikeouts. Still, he has had a couple of poor starts thrown in including one vs these same Red Sox, his worst appearance to date. The Sox have faced Kirby just once, but Story has had his number early.

While Boston isn’t hitting at quite the same torrid pace of some weeks ago, they still have a formidable offensive lineup. They are 7-1 in June and have a solid road record. The Mariners are hitting well of late, but oddly, neither team has a winning record vs. right-handers. The Red Sox bullpen has been terrific lately; the Mariners’ solid but not as impressive as the Sox’. The Mariners are favored today, but I can’t see it. They are not dominant as a home team, and Kirby has faltered more often than Wacha. Take the Red Sox to win on the road tonight.