The 6-4 Twins are on a tear lately on offense, hitting .280/.824 OPS in their last ten games. Today’s starter Smeltzer (2.38 ERA) has been a good news story for the Twins. With 6 starts under his belt this season, he has taken a step forward and held batters to a .203 batting average.

The Twins have roughed up some good starters lately and the D-backs’ Bumgarner could be next in line. May was a cruel month for him, giving up 15 runs and 7 HR. The poor play continued into June, although he bounced back in his last start. He hasn’t thrown for his customary length lately.

The D-backs are not a good hitting team, and this game will likely come down to the better offense. We seem, unfortunately, to be witnessing the beginning of the end of the line for MadBum. Smeltzer, now healthy, has been much better than expected. Go with the favorite today and take the Twins to win.