The visiting Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 games, and while their bats might have cooled off slightly in the Rays series, they thumped the Jays in the first game of the series, and got to a very tough Manoah yesterday. The pitching has been impressive, and today’s starter is one of the reasons why. Severino (2.80 ERA) has been mostly very steady and a strikeout machine this year. He has an ERA of just 0.69 in June. He did give up 3 ER in just 4.2 innings vs the Jays the last time they met, not one of his better starts.

The 5-5 Jays are a streaky team and have seen their potent offense drop off recently. They have very serious and unexpected pitching issues at the moment in both starters and relievers. Today’s starter Kikuchi (4.80 ERA) has not been effective recently, with short starts and a very high opposing batting average of .359. The Jays’ relievers has not been getting the job done, and cannot match the Yankees top of the line bullpen.

The Yankees are just a modest favorite today. This very likely will be an easy win for them. Take the Yankees to win. Again.