The Phillies have lost their last two games, including their road opener vs. the Rangers, but have their ace on the mound to set things straight. Wheeler (6-3, 2.69) struggled a bit early in the season, but has been much improved, especially in June. He has a 1.42 ERA for the month, with 20 strikeouts to just 2 base on balls and very low hit totals.

The 6-4 Rangers can struggle at home and vs right-handed pitching this year. They have had little success vs Wheeler in the past, but have had much the better of the Phillies at home in the past. Jon Gray (4.27 ERA) starts for the Rangers. Gray also has had a good June, with two very good outings after a 5 run in 5 inning start. Opposing hitters have an average of just .193 for the month, although walks have been a bit of an issue. Gray has an ugly ERA in the first inning.

Both starters have thrown for 6 or 7 innings lately, which is significant because neither bullpen has been very strong, especially in the last week. The Phillies have the edge on offense. Wheeler and to a slightly lesser degree, Gray are capable of a quality start, but both of the bullpens have managed to spoil a few good outings lately. Wheeler has had very good run support this season. I am wagering on a superior start from Wheeler, and the Phillies' offense and pen to pull through. Take Wednesday's game to go to the Phillies.