Revenge spot for the Nationals, who are 1-8 against the Marlins this season and were swept in the most recent series. Two things are different this time, however. One is that the Nationals are playing a lot better. They’ve won six of their last nine games. Two is that this time they are at home.

Miami is simply not very good away from home. Their road record is 15-24. While they did come up big for me the other night, winning 4-3 at St. Louis, the Marlins had previously lost the first two games of that series.

Over their last seven games, the Marlins are averaging only 2.7 runs. The only time in those seven games where they scored more than three runs was the last one, when they scored four.

That’s good news for Josiah Gray, who already has a 1.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in his most recent three starts. Somehow the Nationals have managed to lose all three. But going back even further, Gray has allowed no more than two runs in any of his previous starts. He’s due for a win here.

Lefty Trevor Rogers seems to be the “weak link” of the Marlins rotation as he has a 5.86 ERA and 1.635 WHIP this season. The team is 4-10 in his 14 starts and only one time has Rogers made it through a full six innings. That was back in April. Look for Gray and the Nationals to get their revenge.