Back on Thursday, I closed out June with a 10* Game of the Month winner on the Phillies. They won 14-4 behind Aaron Nola. I’m going back to the well today with Zach Wheeler, who has been every bit as effective as Nola this year.

After winning again Friday, 5-3, the Phillies lost Saturday’s game to the Cardinals, 7-6. They succumbed to five St. Louis’ home runs, which is obviously something you shouldn’t expect to happen again.

Wheeler did allow a pair of home runs in his last start, but had previously allowed just three all season. He has a 1.85 ERA and 0.863 WHIP at home.

Adam Wainwright is having another good year for St. Louis, but there are signs that regression may soon take hold. He’s allowed at least seven hits in each of the last five starts.

The Cardinals are only 2-6 in the +125 to +175 range on the road. The Phillies aren’t going to fall into another 5-0 hole after the first inning like they did yesterday. Take the home team!