The Braves let me down last night, losing 3-2 to the Giants. They fell behind 3-0 and were just not able to close the gap. Going 2 for 7 with runners in scoring position really hurt. When you have 10 hits, you should probably score more than two runs.

Despite losing with them last night, I’m back on the Braves here. It’s a great spot to back them. Not only do they own a 35-16 record when off a loss this year, but they are 2-0 when coming off three straight losses. That’s right, the Braves have not lost four in a row at any point in 2022. History says they’ll win tonight.

It’s not like the Giants are any good either. They’ve been a bad team to bet on (-22.2 units) and have scored three runs or less in six of the last eight games. They’ve been lucky to string together a few wins in a row, but you can’t consistently beat Atlanta with that little offense.

Atlanta is 20-6 with Kyle Wright starting this season. Wright got away with allowing eight runs in his last trip to the mound as the Braves rallied for a 10-9 win over Oakland. Unbeaten over his last five starts, Wright had allowed just three runs in his previous four starts before going against the A’s. He’ll bounce back facing a Giants team that is hitting .207 the last week. The Braves have lost only one of Wright’s last 13 starts!

Jake Junis has a 6.46 ERA and 1.50 WHIP his last three starts for San Francisco. He must contend with a much stronger lineup than what Wright will face in this matchup. Atlanta comes in as the second highest scoring team in baseball. 10*