The Jays, off a home win, face the Orioles in game two of their series. The Jays are a good home team especially in the second half. They are 11-4 in September, very tough on right-handers, and hitting for both average and power recently. Berrios, Saturday’s starter has been an enigma this year, but he has been much better lately and very good at home this year. Even with Berrios’ inflated ERA, the Jays win when he is on the mound.

The over-achieving Orioles have struggled against the other AL East teams lately and have slipped out of a wild card spot. They are below .500 on the road and against right-handed pitching. They aren’t hitting especially well and their bullpen is struggling. Saturday’s starter is rookie right-hander Bradich. He has had an excellent 2nd half, but gave up 3 runs and 6 hits over 3 innings to the Jays just two starts ago. The Jays have seen a lot of Bradich this year, with good success; 6 of their lineup are hitting .333 or better against him.

The Jays are streaking in a good way lately, and can be very tough after some good looks at a pitcher. With 4 games against Bradich already, I like them to hit him hard again. They are a middling favorite on Saturday. Take the Jays to win outright. 9*!