At 7:30 ET, my Sun Belt Total Of The Year is on Troy and South Alabama over. Troy comes in off 3 consecutive games that stayed under. That's a good thing as it helps to keep this total reasonable. Important to understand that all those games were at home. The Trojans have allowed 38 points in each of their road games. Their last time on the road was a 38-21 loss at Iowa. The Trojans had some success moving the ball through the air at Iowa and the defense they will encounter today isn't anywhere close to as good as the one they faced that day. South Alabama allows 442.3 yards per game, bottom 15 in the country. The Jaguars allowed 52 points in one game and 42 in another. Their defense stinks but they can flat out score on offense, as they scored 87 in their last home game and they scored 38 and 48 points on two other occasions. South Alabama is going to get 38+ and Troy is going to get 20+. They will combine for more than 60 and send this game over the low total. Play on the over.