T.M. Selection: Fresno State.

I like Fresno State to cover the spread against UTEP in this game on Saturday. Fresno State had a great year and they finished strong with 5 wins in their final 6 games but if it wasn't for a loss to Boise State, they would've been in the MWC title game. Their defense looked really good in their final games, they did not give up 10+ points in their 2 most recent games and they put up 30+ points in both of those games, winning each by 20+ points. I think Fresno State's defense will be able to shut down the UTEP offense here and Fresno has looked so good on offense lately that I am expecting them to pull away more and more as this game goes on. UTEP had a great start to their year and were 6-1 going into the 2nd half of the year but they really slipped up in their games and started to look really bad on the field. After starting the year 6-1, they finished the year 7-5 meaning that they went 1-4 down the final stretch of the year. They played some tough teams like UAB and UTSA who went on to win the conference title, but they also lost games to Florida Atlantic and North Texas which is not a good look on them. UTEP didn't look good on defense either and they were giving up a lot of points in their final games of the season. They gave up 28+ points in their 2 most recent games, 1 of those teams being Rice and their terrible offense. They have also given up 28+ points in 4 of their previous 5 games and I think that Fresno State is going to have no troubles moving the ball down the field and scoring points here. UTEP does not have a great offense either and I think that they will struggle to score with the way that Fresno State's defense has looked lately. I like Fresno State to cover the spread here.

T.M. Prediction: 42-17 Fresno State.