T.M. Selection: Troy @ South Alabama - OVER

I am on the OVER in the Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars game on Tuesday. The under has cashed in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these SBC foes. However, that is keeping this total too low because things look much different entering this season's match-up! The Trojans are off a loss where they scored only 16 points but they actually had over 450 yards of offense in that game! South Alabama also off a loss and it was a 38-17 defeat in which they allowed over 450 yards of offense. The Jaguars defense is vulnerable but they are favored by 2 TDs here at home! Also, their QB has a 12-1 ratio and the trio of Trojans QBs have combined for a 9-1 ratio. I am fading the downward move on this total and love the line value here because of the series history between these foes. This year is different!

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 South Alabama.

Line: O/U 54.5