T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ML

I like the San Francisco 49ers to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, October 20th. The 49ers are at home and the line has moved toward Kansas City which is giving us excellent value here on San Francisco. The Niners are such a small favorite now that we can get the money line at nearly a "pick" price and that is the way to go here. The Chiefs are undefeated this season yet were installed as an underdog here. This is a triple revenge spot for the 49ers as they lost the most recent regular season meeting and, more importantly, also lost TWICE in the Super Bowl to KC over the past 5 years. The Niners are getting healthier now too while the Chiefs are still down some key players on offense and this has led to Mahomes and this KC offense not looking as sharp so far this season. The defense has carried KC but the Niners have the most balanced offense in the NFL and have some of the top numbers in the league. The 49ers are much better than their 3-3 record shows you and the odds makers are aware of this and that is why this line was set how it was for this game. I like San Francisco here and feel they were properly favored to begin with when they were in the -2.5 range here and now our value is even more after the line movement. I will not hesitate to back this one strongly.

T.M. Prediction: 30-17 49ers.

Line: -125