PREMIUM
AAA's THU NIGHT FAN APPRECIATION TOP TOTAL (PROFITS 11 OF 15 NFL WEEKS!)
(NFL) NY Giants vs. Philadelphia,
12/22/2016 3:25 PM, Score: 19 - 24
Total: 41.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 41.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the OVER between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in 10 of its last 16 against the division and in four of its last six as a road fav of three points or less, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in five of eight as an underdog this season, in all four games against the division, in three of four in trying to "revenge" a loss against an opponent and in five of eight against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: New York is jockeying for top Wild Card spot still, while the Eagles play with revenge and try to play spoiler. We're expecting a wide open affair and for this one to indeed go OVER as the game comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in 10 of its last 16 against the division and in four of its last six as a road fav of three points or less, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in five of eight as an underdog this season, in all four games against the division, in three of four in trying to "revenge" a loss against an opponent and in five of eight against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: New York is jockeying for top Wild Card spot still, while the Eagles play with revenge and try to play spoiler. We're expecting a wide open affair and for this one to indeed go OVER as the game comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
