PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (LAY IT & CA$H IT!)
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. NY Yankees,
07/07/2017 3:05 PM, Score: 9 - 4
Money Line: -178.00 NY Yankees (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -178.00 NY Yankees (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the New York Yankees.
Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we absolutely feel that Jordan Montgomery and the hard-hitting home side could be much larger ones:
Junior Guerra: He's 1-3 with a 4.93 ERA. Guerra most recently gave up four runs off eight hits and three walks over four frames in a 10-3 loss to Miami on Sunday. Previous to that the third-year pro had been shelled for eight runs over four innings to Cincinnati. Note that Guerra is just 1-2 with a horrible 6.19 ERA on the road this year.
Montgomery: He's 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA. Montgomery most recently allowed three runs off five hits and a walk while striking out four over 5.1 innings in no-decision against the Astros on Saturday. The Yanks' rookie has gotten better as the season has progressed and has now allowed 14 earned runs to go along with 46 K's over 47.2 innings spanning his last eight starts. Note that Montgomery is a very respectable 3-1 with a 3.73 ERA at home this year.
The bottom line: For the most part, MLB handicapping is all about the starting pitching and when trying to properly assess starting pitching, "recent form" is often the best indicator we have. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction, lay the price with confidence, play on the YANKEES.
AAA Sports
Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we absolutely feel that Jordan Montgomery and the hard-hitting home side could be much larger ones:
Junior Guerra: He's 1-3 with a 4.93 ERA. Guerra most recently gave up four runs off eight hits and three walks over four frames in a 10-3 loss to Miami on Sunday. Previous to that the third-year pro had been shelled for eight runs over four innings to Cincinnati. Note that Guerra is just 1-2 with a horrible 6.19 ERA on the road this year.
Montgomery: He's 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA. Montgomery most recently allowed three runs off five hits and a walk while striking out four over 5.1 innings in no-decision against the Astros on Saturday. The Yanks' rookie has gotten better as the season has progressed and has now allowed 14 earned runs to go along with 46 K's over 47.2 innings spanning his last eight starts. Note that Montgomery is a very respectable 3-1 with a 3.73 ERA at home this year.
The bottom line: For the most part, MLB handicapping is all about the starting pitching and when trying to properly assess starting pitching, "recent form" is often the best indicator we have. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction, lay the price with confidence, play on the YANKEES.
AAA Sports
