AAA's Afternoon TOTAL "ART OF THE GAME!" (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(NCAAF) Ole Miss vs. Kentucky, 11/04/2017 12:00 PM, Score: 37 - 34
Total: 64.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Mississippi and Kentucky.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Mississippi has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 road games, while Kentucky has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven following a conference contst and in 13 of its last 21 against the conference.

The bottom line: Sitting at 3-5 with four games remaining, the odds are now against Mississippi to reach the six win plateau and to become bowl eligible. It's fought hard in back to back weeks, losing 40-24 to LSU, before falling 38-37 to Arkansas as a 3-point favorite last week. Too much of an uphill mental battle in our opinion for the Rebels to climb out of and as such, we expecting a big time letdown on the road this weekend. UK just become bowl eligible itself last week with a tough 29-26 win over Tennessee, making this a natural letdown spot for the home side as well. When you add it all up, this is indeed this total is indeed a few points too high in our opinion. Play the UNDER.

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