Stephen Nover's NBA Friday Underdog Special
(NBA) Miami vs. New York, 04/06/2018 3:30 PM, Score: 98 - 122
Point Spread: 9.00 | -110.00 New York (Home)
Result: Win
I understand the Knicks are a hard sell right now. But Miami isn't very good on the road and this is a flat spot for the Heat, while the Knicks should be fired-up after their dreadful 97-73 home loss to the Magic from Tuesday.

The worst thing you can say about an NBA team is that it quit. The Knicks have heard that criticism for three days now following that defeat to Orlando. I expect the Knicks to rally around their coach, Jeff Hornacek, and to play hard here. New York also has short revenge for a stinging 119-98 road loss to Miami on March 21.

The Knicks own a winning home ATS mark. Trey Burke is playing his best ball since coming to the NBA and Emmanuel Mudiay isn't playing quite as many minutes. Those are all positive factors for the Knicks. But a lot of this handicap is going against the Heat.

The Heat just clinched a playoff spot by virtue of two consecutive victories against the Hawks. It's going to be difficult for Miami to get motivated to face another lottery opponent with its major goal - making the playoffs after missing last season - accomplished.

Miami has won just two of its past 13 road contests. Those victories were against the Hawks and Lakers by one point. Among the Heat's road losses during this span was a defeat to the Kings. So the Knicks are very much a live 'dog here.