Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week
(MLB) Texas vs. Boston, 08/21/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 10 - 1
Total: 9.50 | -113.00 Over
Result: Win
Jordan Lyles. Fenway Park. Total opening at less than 10. 

Any other questions why Over makes sense here?

Didn't think so but just in case here's some more evidence why this total should go Over. 

Eduardo Rodriguez starts for the Red Sox. He's been disappointing with a 4.97 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He has a 4.91 career ERA against Texas in five starts. 

Lyles really shouldn't be in a big league starting rotation. He has a 5.55 ERA and 1.48 ratio. Lyles has been especially brutal this month with a 9.00 ERA in three starts. He also has an 8.56 ERA lifetime against Boston in three starts.

The wind is blowing in from left at eight mph. But this is off-set by Dan Iassogna slated to be the home plate umpire. The Over is 14-7 in games he's been behind the plate this season.