Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Month
(MLB) NY Mets vs. Colorado, 05/15/2016 12:10 PM, Score: 3 - 4
Total: 10.00 | 106.00 Over
Result: Win
Jacob deGrom's velocity may be slightly down from last season, but he's still a stud. Tyler Chatwood is a promising pitcher, too. Corey Blaser, the scheduled home plate umpire, is a solid ump. Put this together, along with a slight wind blowing in, and you have a game that should not reach double-digit scoring.

DeGrom has a 2.12 ERA. Only once in his last five starts as he given up more than two runs. He's surrendered just seven runs in his last five starts. The right-hander has pitched twice against the Rockies in his career and held them scoreless in 15 innings giving up just five hits while striking out 19. The under has cashed five of the last six times the Rockies have faced a righty.

Chatwood has pitched great on the road and poorly at Coors Field. That's a reason why this total is so high. Chatwood, though, has a high ceiling. He's been held back because of injuries and is finally healthy now. I expect him to start pitching better at home. Both teams could be sitting out starters this being a Sunday with the Mets already announcing that David Wright isn't going to start. New York has gone under in six of its last seven away games.

Blaser is a pitcher's umpire. The under has cashed 58 percent of the time he's been behind the plate during the past three years at 35-25, including seven of the past nine times.

Note, too, the under has cashed 10 of the last 13 times these teams have met.