Stephen Nover's Sunday Night Blockbuster
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Houston, 10/16/2016 4:30 PM, Score: 23 - 26
Point Spread: -3.00 | -105.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Push
This line is off. These teams aren't even, which the oddsmaker is insinuating opening the game Houston minus 3 with home-field usually worth a field goal.

The Texans have a strong defense. They rank fifth in fewest yards allowed and are No. 1 in pass defense.

The Colts have a defense for the ages - the dark ages. It's one of their worst ever, which is saying a lot. Indy just allowed the Bears and backup quarterback Brian Hoyer to roll up 522 yards in a six-point home win that was closer than the score may indicate.

The Texans beat the Bears by nine points opening week and the Bears have regressed since then due to multiple injuries.

I'm not a fan of Brock Osweiler. But the Texans' offensive line should be much improved with the return of left tackle Duane Brown. Osweiler has a top-five wide receiver in DeAndre Hopkins and a solid running back in Lamar Miller.

The Colts are giving up 29.6 points a game, fourth-worst in the NFL, and are 30th in yards given up.

Indy wins game by outscoring opponents. The Colts have been fortunate to draw below average defenses in four of their first five games. Their offensive line is inexperienced and can't protect Andrew Luck, who already has been sacked 20 times. The Texans have a strong pass rush even without injured J.J. Watt with emerging stars Jadeveon Clowney and Whitney Mercilus.

Look for the Texans to dominate both lines of scrimmage - and the game.