Schule's NFL THURSDAY NIGHT SMACKDOWN - NO@CAR
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Carolina, 10/30/2014 4:25 PM, Score: 28 - 10
Money Line: -145.00 New Orleans (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints.

Normally the last thing I would want to do is bet on the Saints as a road favorite, but I don't think very highly of the Carolina Panthers even at home. Last week they only manged to gain a total of 266 yards in a home loss to the Seahawks, and Cam Newton was sacked three times while throwing for 172 yards and an INT on 12-of-22 passing.

Stopping the run has been a big issue for Carolina, ranking 28th in the NFL allowing opponents to average over 150 rushing yards per game. The Saints ground game is starting to pick up some steam, and last week against the Packers Mark Ingram ran for 172 yards and a TD on just 24 carries.

Even better news for the Saints was that TE Jimmy Graham caught five passes for 59 yards and a TD. Graham has struggled through a shoulder injury for most of the season, but appears to be close to fully healthy heading into this week's game in Carolina.

If you were to look at previous history, all the stats would tell you that Carolina looks good at home here. Those numbers don't tell the whole story though, and I think New Orleans is catching the Panthers at a good time. The Saints played very well on the road against Detroit two weeks ago, and they deserved a win there. This appears to be a team that has sorted things out, really finding it's stride. The Panthers on the other hand have been struggling on both sides of the ball, and I don't like their chances tonight.

Take NO.

GL,

Jesse Schule