T-E-R-M-I-N-A-T-O-R
(NCAAB) Nevada vs. Dayton, 03/21/2024 4:30 PM, Score: 60 - 63
Total: 137.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 4* play on Under.

So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule