The Cincinnati Reds had a three game winning streak snapped last night as San Francisco tied this four-game set 1-1 with a 10-2 victory at Great American Ballpark. I expect the hosts who have won five of the last six meetings to come out with revenge on their minds tonight and make the most of their home-advantage.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Giants will hand the ball to Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 5.67 ERA) who's impressed in his last two starts home in San Francisco but has struggled in each of his three road-starts on the season. He's compiled a 13.50 ERA over 11 1/3 innings spread out over three appearances on the road, and it's hardly a coincidence as he posted a 5.10 ERA away from home last season compared to 3.06 home at AT&T Park. The Reds will counter with Mike Leake who has been dominant all season, holding opponents to three runs or less in six of his seven starts on the year. He's shut his opponent out in two of his last three starts and is a solid 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA against the Giants over his career.

2. Batter versus Pitcher - There are plenty of members on the Reds with good numbers against Vogelsong, most noticeably Brandon Phillips who is 8-for-18 and Todd Frazier who is 5-for-10 with two homers.

3. X-Factor - The Giants have lost all of Vogelsong's last seven road-starts.

Selection: This is a play on the Cincinnati Reds (10*)