Rogers' Friday Night ESPN2 Fight - 81-58-2, $14,772 NCAAF Run!
(NCAAF) Arizona State vs. UTSA, 09/16/2016 5:30 PM, Score: 32 - 28
Point Spread: -19.50 | -110.00 Arizona State (Away)
Result: Loss
Arizona State: The 2-0 Sun Devils play on the road for the first time in 2016, heading to San Antonio off a record-tying performance by junior RB Kalen Ballage. Ballage matched an FBS record with eight TDs, scoring seven on the ground and adding a TD reception. Fellow junior Demario Richard has 187 yards in two games, after leading the team with 1098 rushing yards last year (Ballage had 653 RY in 2015). QB Berovici (3860 yards with 30 TDs and 9 INTs) needed to be replaced in 2016 and the job was won by sophomore Manny Wilkins, who played in four games but didn't have a pass attempt as a red-shirt freshman last year. He's thrown for 531 yards with two TDs and one INT while completing 75.0 percent after two games (has also rushed for 144 yards, averaging 6.0 YPC). ASU head coach Todd Graham knows improvement must come on the defensive side of the ball, where the Sun Devils have yielded a Pac-12-most 518.5 YPG to Northern Arizona and Texas Tech (that ranks 119th in the nation!).

UTSA: The Roadrunners opened the season with a 26-13 home win over Alabama State but then lost at Colorado State last week, 23-14. Due to QB sacks, UTSA was held to minus-1 rushing yard by the Rams (RBs had just 56 yards on 24 attempts). RB Jarveon Williams, who rushed for 1042 yards last year and was a preseason C-USA pick, has been held to 39 in two games while battling an ankle injury. QB Dalton Sturm has thrown for 450 yards and four scores (two INTs), with 11 players having at least one catch. UTSA's defense hasn't faced an offense as powerful as ASU's yet and this will be a huge test.

The pick: Arizona State has scored 112 points in two home victories to open the campaign, after its 68-55 win against Texas Tech last week. The Sun Devils have scored at least 50 points 15 times since Graham took over in 2012 (had reached that mark just 10 times in the previous 10 years) and will be a tough matchup for UTSA. The Roadrunners' D got worn down by CSU, which ran for 220 yards. Is there any way UTSA can slow down ASU's running game? The Sun Devils' defense is vulnerable but UTSA doesn't have the ‘weapons' to make Todd Graham's defensive unit ‘pay.' This will be Arizona State's last non-conference tune-up before starting Pac-12 play against California at home on September 24. Graham saw growth between weeks one and two and said, "We have to figure out ways to win and this team has the heart and character to make it happen. I love coaching them." Lay the points and make ASU an 8* play.