Vanderbilt: The Commodores ended a long bowl drought in 2008 (last previous bowl was in 1982) and the school has been to bowls in 2011, 2012 and 2013. However, while Vandy plays in the SEC, let's not mistake it for one of the league's "football schools." Head coach Derek Mason is in his third year at the school, coming off back-to-back 3-9 seasons. Vandy's start in 2016 has not exactly been one to inspire confidence. The ‘Dores lost 13-10 at home to South Carolina, getting held to 242 yards. The team rebounded with a 47-24 win over Middle Tennessee State but got outgained 495 to 344 in yards.The bright spot was RB Ralph Webb, who gained 211 yards and scored two TDs. A worry has to be sophomore QB Shurmur, who has completed just 46.0 percent for 186 yards with one TD (good news being, no INTs).

Georgia Tech: The Yellow Jackets are 2-0 to open 2016, winning 17-14 over Boston College in Ireland, then beating Mercer at home, 35-10. Paul Johnson led Ga. Tech to a bowl game in each of his first seven season in Atlanta but after opening last year 2-0 (winning by scores of 69-6 and 65-10), the Yellow Jackets would lose nine of their last 10 games. QB Justin Thomas completed just 41.7 percent last season and missed part of the Mercer game with what was described as a minor injury but is expected to start Saturday. He's not much of a QB.

The pick: The Yellow Jackets ran for 364 yards last week but Mercer is an FCS school playing in just its fourth season. Against a quality defense like Boston College, Tech ran for just 119 yards (on 2.7 YPC) and was only able to win when scoring a TD with only 35 seconds left in the game. Vanderbilt has gone a solid 11-5 ATS as a road dog since 2012 and I'll make Vandy a 10 * play in this one.