Miami: The Dolphins lost a heartbreaker at Seattle in Week 1, failing to stop the Seahawks and Wilson on that late-game winning drive, twice failing to stop Seattle on fourth-down conversion tries. However, Miami can blame its offense for the loss, as Tannehill and Co. totaled just 214 yards on 11 FDs (Dolphins converted just 3 of 14 3rd downs and were 0-1 in their lone 4th-down try).

New England: The four-game Jimmy Garoppolo era opened with a 23-21 win in Phoenix against the Cardinals. Garoppolo was poised and efficient, finishing 24 of 33 for 264 yards and a TD (106.1 QB rating). New England will not be resting on its laurels, as a 20-10 loss at Miami in last year's regular-season finale cost the Patriots home-field advantage in the postseason. Bill Belichick described that loss as "sickening!"

The pick: The Patriots enter this game 71-21 against their AFC East opponents since 2001. New England has beaten the Dolphins seven consecutive times at Gillette Stadium and the Pats are 15-6-3 ATS the last three years in Foxboro. Coming off a game against the highly physical Seahawks is always a draining experience, so lay the points and make the Pats an 8* play.