Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #979 Saturday Free Pick Washington Nationals Run Line -1.5 runs -135 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 4:05 ET - The Nationals lost last night's game by a single run but should bounce back in a big way here with their ace on the mound. Max Scherzer is 10-2 this season including 6-1 on the road and he has a 2.05 ERA in his 7 starts away from home. Overall, Washington is 11-3 in his starts this season and 10 of those 11 wins have come by a margin of 2 or more runs. Of course I am not going to suggest laying a huge price with the Nationals money line but, as you can see, we get a very fair price by simply taking the Nats to win by 2 or more runs. With Scherzer on the mound I like the strong odds in our favor here. Although the Blue Jays Marco Estrada is off of back to back strong starts, he did face the miserable Orioles in his most recent start. Prior to that win versus Baltimore, Estrada was 0-4 in home starts this season! 6 of the 7 losses that Toronto has in Estrada starts this season have come by a margin of 2 or more runs. In other words, if you expect the Jays to lose this game you can see why the odds heavily favor that defeat coming by 2 or more runs. With Scherzer giving the Nationals a huge edge on the mound, I am laying the 1.5 runs in this one. The Blue Jays are 2-8 in Saturday games this season while Washington is a long-term 41-9 (82%) as a road favorite of -175 or more on the money line. That said, a win is likely and I look for it to be a road rout! Free Pick WASHINGTON Run Line -1.5 runs -135