Rotation #200145: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest @ 11 AM ET - Luton Town just played on Wednesday and there could be some weary legs on defense! Why? Because they just blew a 3-0 lead (incredibly) and lost 4-3 at Bournemouth in most recent match! Luton Town allowing 2.1 goals per match this season but they do also score about 1.5 goals per match and have a long 16-match run (in EPL matches) of scoring at least 1 goal! Yes, 16 in a row and yet they just can not seem to stop anyone which is why I like the over so much in this match-up. Note that 13 of those 16 matches totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing an 81% EPL run with this play. Also, Nottingham Forest is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Nottingham knotted up Luton at 2-2 in the first meeting and I anticipate a similar result here. Nottingham on a stretch of low-scoring results but they will open things up here against a weak Luton Town backline. Also, Nottingham has not had a stretch of 4 straight matches failing to reach 3 goals since the mid-Sept to early-Oct timeframe more than 5 months ago. The high-scoring ways resume here given a favorable match-up after some tougher opposition. OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town