I like the value on the Padres as a small road dog. Yu Darvish is 4-0 with a 0.93 ERA in his last four road starts against Mets including the postseason, and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA against them last season.
Max Scherzer has a 5.31 ERA in his last seven starts against the Padres including being rocked in the postseason last year.
Mets are 0-4 in their last four games against a team with a winning record, and Padres are 4-1 in their last five against a team with a winning record (not including Sunday Night Baseball on 4/9).
1.5% on Padres