The Reds have had the Cubs number, winning five of the six head-to-head meetings this season. The Reds are also the National League's best road team this season in profit and second in MLB overall (+$1692).
The Cubs are 18th in home moneyline profit, and Justin Steele is overvalued.
Justin Steele has been great this season but is 1-3 with an 8.34 ERA in seven career appearances against the Reds, which includes allowing 10 hits and six runs against the Reds in a 9-0 Cubs loss on May 26 of this season.
Active Reds hitters are batting .529 (18 for 34) against Steele with a .600 on-base percentage.. ouch!
2% on Reds