The last eight head-to-head meetings have gone over, with 11 runs or more scored in seven of those last eight. Drew Smyly's last four starts have gone over, along with both of his starts against the Reds this season, with him allowing 12 runs in 9.1 innings.
Brandon Williamson allowed four runs in 4.1 innings against the Cubs this season.
Both offenses have been hitting lefties well. Reds .310 batting vs lefties in last 10 games. Cubs .321 on base percentage vs lefties over the same stretch.
3% on OVER