If I were setting this line I'd have Marshall at -20.5. This number dropped from 18 to 16.5, as I believe many are worried about a Marshall letdown on the road after beating Notre Dame, but I expect the Thundering Herd to be ready to play, and even if they aren't, they will wake up at halftime and beat Bowling Green by three touchdowns.
It's a homecoming game for Bowling Green, but the program is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record and 6-17 ATS in their last 23 non-conference games. There's alot of returning production for the Falcons from 2021, but that doesn't mean a lot when the players you return aren't very good. People keep talking about Bowling Green's win over Minnesota last season. That was a fluke, and not much else over the past several seasons has been positive for this program. Marshall is also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Marshall is 3rd in the nation in rushing yards per game, led by running back Khalan Laborn who racked up 163 yards on 31 carries against Notre Dame. Bowling Green hasn't been able to stop the run for the last five seasons, and things haven't changed enough.
They are Marshall, and they will cover.