The Phillies are battle-tested in the postseason after last year's run to the World Series. Top to bottom, I give the Phillies the edge in this situation. Jesus Luzardo is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in three postseason games but has not appeared in one since 2020 with the Oakland A's. Miami is also making its first postseason appearance since 2020.
Zack Wheeler is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four home starts against the Marlins. The Phillies were also 3-1 in Wheeler's National League postseason starts last year.
Phillies come into postseason 6-1 in last seven home games. Phillies also 43-24 as a home favorite this season. Marlins 25-35 as a road dog.
The Phillies 6th in MLB in OBP since August 1, and the Marlins are 22nd, which is the worst amongst playoff teams.
I will take the Phillies in Game 1.
3% play on Phillies.