Laying more juice than I like but this is a good spot for Milwaukee to win. The Brewers are however the worst run line team in baseball, and at home, so not messing with that end of it. Brewers are 3-1 in Lauer's last 4 home starts with a 2-1 loss to the Dodgers in there. Lauer also has a 2.98 home ERA. He is coming off two start road starts, but I expect him to be ready to go here against the Marlins which is one of the worst in baseball. Braxton Garrett has been a very different pitcher on the road this season for Miami, and the Marlins are also just 13-39 in their last 52 games against winning ball clubs.