I like the Steeler in this spot after losing back-to-back games against bad teams. As bad as the numbers may look, Pittsburgh is on a two game losing streak for the first time this season, and with the Bengals, Seahawks and Ravens next, this is a must-win for Pittsburgh. Since 2020, the Steelers are 20-13-1 ATS as a dog, the second best mark in the AFC. The Colts have only covered in 40% of their games as a home favorite over the same time frame.
With the small spread, I will grab Pittsburgh to win outright.
2.5% play