Toledo has dominated this series recently when it comes to wins and loses, but I expect a motivated Miami team to show up on Tuesday. When these teams met in Toledo on January 5, Miami could not hold onto an 11-point halftime lead, and Toledo prevailed late to win by four.

Coming into this game, Miami has a slight edge, given the recent form of each team. The Rockets are fueled by their offense, but defensively, they are 323rd in the nation since February. The Redhawks have struggled over the same time frame on offense, ranking 306th, but the Miami defense is 65th compared to Toledo's offense, which has been 101st down the stretch.
Toledo is just 1-4 ATS as a road favorite this season and only 1-6 ATS in its last seven MAC games. Miami 4-1 ATS in its last five MAC games, with defense leading the way.
Take Miami.