Brewers starter Frankie Montas has been up and down this season, posting a 5.12 road ERA, which includes being drilled for seven hits and five runs in 4.2 innings at San Fran on May 12. The Giants will counter with Hayden Birdsong who has struggled with his control, walking 20 batters in his last 21.2 innings pitched.
Birdsong is also 0-5 with an ERA of 8.31 over his last six starts.
Although both bullpens have been sharp recently, they are due for some regression, and with the low total I like the over here given the subpar pitching matchup.

2% on over