Belmont is 135th overall according to KenPom. They are also 91st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 8th making 40% from three. Valpo is 307th overall, 321st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 339th making 29.4% of their threes. Belmont is also the better defensive team.
Belmont won the first meeting 76-64 on its home floor, and I don't see the change of venue being enough for us to expect an extremely different result.