MIT Simulator - NFL Thursday Raiders vs Chiefs Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Oakland 24.97, Kansas City 20.14 - Projected Margin of Victory: 4.83 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 7.83 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.83 points. Value in excess of a TD. Projected box-score shows Raiders rushing edge of 22.11 yards in excess of Chiefs rushing total. Key factors noted: Kansas City may have unbeaten letdown factor after suffering first loss of season last week. Oakland QB Derek Carr was rusty in first week back and likely to respond with a much better effort here. Raiders happy to have QB back but also extra hungry for a win. Oakland has lost 4 straight and the streak was punctuated by losing in the final seconds on a San Diego field goal last week. Raiders also have lost all 4 meetings with Chiefs in last 2 seasons so motivation as a home dog is very high here. Oakland has rushed for at least 100 yards (and 4.6 yards per carry) last 2 games. Kansas City has allowed 131 rushing yards (and 4.8 yards per carry) this season. With Carr healthier, Chiefs must respect him and that opens up ground game for Raiders to wear out KC porous run defense. Projected box-score shows Oakland with a passing edge of 28.64 yards in excess of Kansas City passing total. Combined edge of 50.75 yards for Oakland equating to victory by 4.83 points per MIT Simulator. Play: RAIDERS