MIT Simulator - CFB Friday Nevada vs Air Force Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Falcons 41.86, Wolf Pack 27.32 - Projected Margin of Victory: 14.54 - Current Line: 6.5 - Variance to Line: 8.04 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.04 points. Value in excess of TD. Projected box-score shows Falcons rushing edge of 196.18 yards in excess of Wolf Pack rushing total. Key factors noted: Nevada head coach Jay Norvell (1st year) is facing the triple option attack for the first time. Wolf Pack have allowed 221.3 rushing yards per game last 3 games. Air Force offense has amassed 370.5 rushing yards per game last 2 games. This is mismatch in terms of Falcons strength versus Nevada's weakness. Also, when Wolf Pack have the ball their strength is passing (263.6 yards per game) but Air Force defense is allowing only 127.7 passing yards per game. Falcons are 3-0 ATS in last 3 meetings with Nevada. After a win versus a conference opponent, Air Force is 8-3 ATS. Falcons facing a Wolf Pack team that is 0-3 ATS in games with O/U between 63.5 and 70 points. Projected box-score shows Nevada passing edge of 53.32 yards in excess of Air Force passing total. Net edge of 142.86 total yards in favor of Falcons equating to victory by 14.54 points per MIT Simulator. Play: AIR FORCE