MIT Simulator - MLB Thursday Cubs vs Dodgers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cubs 3.62, Dodgers 3.39 - Projected Margin: 0.23 - Current Price on +1.5 Run Line: -115 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 1.5 runs on game with low price on the run line (+1.5 runs). MIT Simulator shows game could be a one-run decision either way and yet run line available at very small juice. Projected box-score shows Cubs outhitting Dodgers by 0.51 hits. Key factors noted: The home team has won 8 of the 10 meetings between the teams this season including 3 of the 4 in this series. The home team in the ALCS has won all 5 games so the home dominant trend is not showing any signs of wavering. Clayton Kershaw has post-season ERA of 4.50 or more in 5 of his 7 playoff seasons (including this one). Jose Quintana went 5-0 at Wrigley Field since coming to the Cubs. Quintana has given up only 5 hits in 11.3 post-season innings this fall. Projected box-score shows Cubs outhitting Dodgers by 0.18 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to no margin in this game meaning value is with the +1.5 runs in a game with strong odds for an upset or a 1-run loss for Cubs per MIT Simulator. Play: CUBS Run Line +1.5 runs