MIT Simulator - NBA Thursday Blazers vs Clippers O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Portland 103.64, LA Clippers 100.43 - Projected Total Points: 204.07 - Current O/U: 216 - Variance to O/U: 11.93 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.93 points. Value in double digits. Projected box-score shows Trail Blazers and Clippers combining for 21 three pointers, 54 two pointers, 33 free throws. Key factors noted: The Clippers have an O/U record of 0-3 this season and the Blazers have an O/U record of 1-3 this season. Clippers averaged 83.2 field goal attempts per game last season and this ranked 26th slowest pace in the league. Since a fast-paced opener versus the Lakers, the Clips have slowed right back down as their last two games have seen them and their opponent combine to average only 80.3 field goal attempts per game. Similarly the Blazers last two games have seen them and their opponent average only 80 shots per game. The Blazers have given up 96 points or less in 3 of their 4 games. The Clippers have allowed an average of 88 points per game in their 3 games this season. The movement on this total (was as low as 211 this morning) has led to strong value per the simulator. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to only 204 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER