MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Kansas City vs Buffalo Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Chiefs 24.15, Bills 21.98 - Projected Margin of Victory: 2.17 - Current Line: 10 - Variance to Line: 7.83 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.83 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Kansas City passing edge of 29.18 yards in excess of Buffalo passing total. However, projected box-score also reflects Bills rushing edge of 18.34 yards in excess of Chiefs rushing yardage total. Key factors noted: After rookie Peterman got exposed at QB for the Bills in LA last week, look for Taylor to come back in and get Buffalo going again. The Chiefs have been on the fade for a month and a half now as they have lost 4 of their last 5 SU and ATS. The Bills are 6-1 ATS when they enter a game on a losing streak of 2 games or more. The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS when off of a loss that was by double digits ATS and facing a team that is off of a loss by double digits SU. That system fits here and we have combined angles of 1-4 and 0-4 against the Chiefs and 6-1 in favor of Buffalo. Add it all together and it is a 14-2 ATS spot favoring the Bills in this one. MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to a very tight game with Chiefs by only 2.17 points. Play: BUFFALO