MLB - The play here is the OVER. High-scoring win for the home team is likely in this one per the simulation report. The Reds bullpen was the difference again yesterday as Cincinnati's bullpen continues to be their key weakness this season. Luis Castillo starts for the Reds here and he is also struggling recently. Castillo has a 6.35 ERA his last 3 starts and a 5.27 ERA on the road this season with an O/U record of 8-4. The Brewers Brandon Woodruff has been the much better pitcher on the season but he will give up some runs here. Woodruff off a rough outing and allowed 9 hits in 6 innings last time he faced Reds here at home. Woodruff gives up a few runs but Castillo gets roughed up. The O/U is 3-0 in Woodruff's last 3 starts and the Brewers bullpen will be the difference late with strong probability for a high-scoring home team win per the simulation report. Play OVER (Brewers/Reds)