Take #303/304 FIU/NMST Over
(NCAAF) Florida International (FIU) vs. New Mexico State,
Total: 48.50 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
FIU will make the long cross-country trek from Miami to Las Cruces to take on New Mexico State. Neither team has played in over a week, and we like points here. With an offseason win total below four, the Panthers have already rattled off three wins over Maine, North Texas and UConn heading into conference play. Despite three losses on the season, New Mexico State has an offensive identity. Quarterback Diego Pavia and running back Star Thomas lead an Aggies offense that leads the country in Line Yards and Rushing Success Rate. Granted, New Mexico State has the 121st-ranked strength of schedule, but the Aggies have been excellent at gaining the required yards in standard downs. Thomas has created 16 missed tackles on the season thanks to a heavy inside and outside zone rush attack. Pavia has been tough to bring down as well, averaging 4.5 yards after contact while racking up 194 designed yards versus 140 from scrambling attempts. We think both of these teams score and score here on Wednesday and this game goes over the posted total.