All we keep hearing is that Michigan haven't really beaten anyone yet. While we agree they have had an easier run of things with the 53rd ranked strength of schedule, they are still 9-0, which includes crushing their last five opponents where they went 4-1 ATS. The average win margin in those games was 40.4 points. Regardless of opponent, we are at a point in the season where the market is becoming extremely efficient and it understands how much better one team is over another. These lines have likely been inflated as of late for the Wolverines, yet they are still covering with ease. PSU have covered just one in their last three games, and this will be the first time all season that they are listed as home underdogs. Do you really think that's a glaring mistake by the market on one of the biggest nationally televised games of the season? The answer is no. Penn State are still banged up at multiple positions, and will have their hands full against a very good Michigan defense. The Wolverines have allowed just 6.67 points per game over their last nine, which includes three road games where they allowed just 5.67 points per game. PSU got their offense going last week against MD, but this is still a team that have struggled on that side of the ball when facing decent teams. They scored just 12 at Ohio State, and besides that; what elite teams have they faced themselves? They've been favored by an average of 25 points per game excluding OSU! We honestly don't care that Harbaugh is not there, and we like this play even more with him not there anyway honestly, as the team will likely rally to prove a point.