NMSU has covered the spread in every game but one this year. So, sure, let's grab this bucket-full of points. I always like to bet against mid-major teams like Liberty that crack the Top 25. Liberty isn't one of the 25 best teams in the country. And that number next to their name puts a big bull's eye on them. Liberty is going to pound the ball on the ground. NMSU has a Top 35 rushing defense, though, and they have already seen this Liberty offense once this year in a 33-17 loss. NMSU only lost by 16 here in the first meeting. They also went into Auburn and beat the Tigers two weeks ago. I think they can keep this one competitive and make the points stand up in a one-score loss.